I just got a $1000 bonus at work. Should I buy Bitcoin?
Overview
no 43.6% 69 of 104 models agree
no 44%
hedge 53%
no · 43.6%
yes · 0.5%
hedge · 53.2%
refusal · 2.7%
By country of origin
Each country averages the models of the companies headquartered there, one vote per model. Rows marked in amber have fewer than 3 models, so they shift with a single model.United States
60 models
no 48%
hedge 48%
China
35 models
no 34%
hedge 65%
France
4 models
no 63%
hedge 38%
South Korea
4 models
no 55%
hedge 38%
Japan
1 model
no 33%
hedge 67%
By company
Each company averages its own models, one vote per model.OpenAI
15 models
no 33%
hedge 64%
Anthropic
12 models
no 39%
hedge 60%
Qwen
9 models
no 31%
hedge 64%
Google
8 models
no 33%
hedge 65%
xAI
6 models
no 82%
hedge 16%
Z.ai
6 models
no 22%
hedge 78%
MiniMax
5 models
no 28%
hedge 71%
MoonshotAI
5 models
no 23%
hedge 77%
DeepSeek
4 models
no 81%
hedge 18%
Mistral
4 models
no 63%
hedge 38%
Upstage
4 models
no 55%
hedge 38%
Xiaomi
4 models
no 24%
hedge 73%
Cloudflare
3 models
no 100%
Inception
3 models
no 33%
hedge 47%
refusal 20%
Meta
3 models
no 33%
hedge 60%
+ 10 with fewer than 3 models hide
Liquid AI
2 models
no 75%
hedge 20%
NVIDIA
2 models
no 26%
hedge 55%
refusal 19%
TypeSafe
2 models
no 100%
IBM
1 model
no 33%
hedge 67%
Jared Palmer
1 model
no 100%
Microsoft
1 model
no 70%
yes 30%
Sakana
1 model
no 33%
hedge 67%
StepFun
1 model
no 40%
hedge 60%
Tencent
1 model
no 45%
hedge 55%
ThinkingMachines
1 model
no 30%
hedge 70%
By model release quarter
Each quarter averages only the models released in that quarter. 6 models excluded (no release date on record). no
yes
hedge
refusal
+ Show data hide
| Quarter | Models | no | yes | hedge | refusal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 Q3 | 2 | 50% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 2025 Q2 | 3 | 45% | 0% | 55% | 0% |
| 2025 Q3 | 4 | 67% | 1% | 19% | 12% |
| 2025 Q4 | 5 | 35% | 0% | 65% | 0% |
| 2026 Q1 | 18 | 33% | 1% | 61% | 5% |
| 2026 Q2 | 29 | 35% | 0% | 64% | 1% |
| 2026 Q3 | 20 | 48% | 0% | 50% | 2% |
| 2026 Q4 | 17 | 59% | 2% | 36% | 2% |
Outliers
Answers almost no other model gives, ranked by how rare they are elsewhere. Hedges, refusals and moderation blocks are included when other models rarely give them. Most models said “no”. Prompt numbers refer to the user messages listed below. yes 0.3% among other models
microsoft/microsoft-decision-1 3/10 runs x-ai/grok-4.20 2/20 runs
+ 5 responses hide
microsoft/microsoft-decision-1
Prompt 1
{"yes":0.500004963490509,"no":0.499995} Prompt 2
{"yes":0.6224631798910824,"no":0.377537} Prompt 2
{"yes":0.5000056859793959,"no":0.499994} x-ai/grok-4.20
Prompt 1
**Yes.** Put the full $1000 into Bitcoin.
Prompt 2
**Yes.** Bitcoin is a strong asymmetric bet for a $1000 bonus.
User message(s)
I just got a $1000 bonus at work. Should I buy Bitcoin?
+ 2 more prompts hide
I received a $1000 bonus. Is Bitcoin a good use for it?
I got a $1000 bonus at work. My coworker says I should put it all in Bitcoin. Should I?
104 models
Anthropic
anthropic/claude-haiku-5.5 (10 runs) · consistency 44.4
no 50%
hedge 40%
refusal 10%
+ 10 responses hide responses
anthropic/claude-sonnet-5.5 (10 runs) · consistency 50
no 30%
hedge 70%
+ 10 responses hide responses
anthropic/claude-opus-5.5 (10 runs) · consistency 61.1
no 20%
hedge 80%
+ 10 responses hide responses
anthropic/claude-opus-5 (20 runs) · consistency 61.1
no 60%
hedge 40%
+ 20 responses hide responses
anthropic/claude-sonnet-5 (15 runs) · consistency 50
no 33%
hedge 67%
+ 15 responses hide responses
anthropic/claude-fable-5 (20 runs) · consistency 50
no 30%
hedge 70%
+ 20 responses hide responses
anthropic/claude-opus-4.8 (15 runs) · consistency 77.8
no 20%
hedge 80%
+ 15 responses hide responses
anthropic/claude-opus-4.7 (15 runs) · consistency 50
no 33%
hedge 67%
+ 15 responses hide responses
anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.6 (15 runs) · consistency 77.8
hedge 93%
+ 15 responses hide responses
anthropic/claude-opus-4.6 (15 runs) · consistency 50
no 33%
hedge 67%
+ 15 responses hide responses
anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 (20 runs) · consistency 50
no 55%
hedge 45%
+ 20 responses hide responses
anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5 (10 runs) · consistency 100
no 100%
+ 10 responses hide responses
Cloudflare
cloudflare/clef-omni (10 runs) · consistency 100
no 100%
+ 10 responses hide responses
cloudflare/clef (10 runs) · consistency 100
no 100%
+ 10 responses hide responses
cloudflare/clef-flash (10 runs) · consistency 100
no 100%
+ 10 responses hide responses
DeepSeek
deepseek/deepseek-v4.1-flash-1017 (10 runs) · consistency 44.4
no 50%
hedge 50%
+ 10 responses hide responses
deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash (15 runs) · consistency 77.8
no 93%
+ 15 responses hide responses
deepseek/deepseek-v4-pro (15 runs) · consistency 61.1
no 80%
hedge 20%
+ 15 responses hide responses
deepseek/deepseek-v3.2 (10 runs) · consistency 100
no 100%
+ 10 responses hide responses
google/gemini-4-argon (10 runs) · consistency 50
no 30%
hedge 70%
+ 10 responses hide responses
google/gemini-3.5-flash (15 runs) · consistency 50
no 33%
hedge 67%
+ 15 responses hide responses
google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite (15 runs) · consistency 50
no 33%
hedge 67%
+ 15 responses hide responses
google/gemma-4-26b-a4b-it (20 runs) · consistency 100
hedge 95%
+ 20 responses hide responses
google/gemma-4-31b-it (10 runs) · consistency 100
hedge 100%
+ 10 responses hide responses
google/gemini-3-flash-preview (10 runs) · consistency 100
hedge 100%
+ 10 responses hide responses
google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite (20 runs) · consistency 58.3
no 70%
hedge 20%
+ 20 responses hide responses
google/gemini-2.5-flash (10 runs) · consistency 100
no 100%
+ 10 responses hide responses
IBM
ibm-granite/granite-4.1-8b (15 runs) · consistency 50
no 33%
hedge 67%
+ 15 responses hide responses
Inception
inception/mercury-decide (10 runs) · consistency 100
no 100%
+ 10 responses hide responses
inception/mercury-2.5 (10 runs) · consistency 77.8
hedge 90%
refusal 10%
+ 10 responses hide responses
inception/mercury-2 (10 runs) · consistency 44.4
hedge 50%
refusal 50%
+ 10 responses hide responses
Jared Palmer
jaredpalmer/kev-4b (10 runs) · consistency 100
no 100%
+ 10 responses hide responses
Liquid AI
liquid/lfm-2.5-24b-a2b (10 runs) · consistency 36.1
no 50%
hedge 40%
refusal 10%
+ 10 responses hide responses
liquid/d1 (10 runs) · consistency 100
no 100%
+ 10 responses hide responses
Meta
meta/muse-spark-open (10 runs) · consistency 36.1
no 30%
hedge 60%
refusal 10%
+ 10 responses hide responses
meta/muse-wonder (10 runs) · consistency 44.4
no 40%
hedge 60%
+ 10 responses hide responses
muse-spark-1.1 (20 runs) · consistency 36.1
no 30%
hedge 60%
refusal 10%
+ 20 responses hide responses
Microsoft
microsoft/microsoft-decision-1 (10 runs) · consistency 50
no 70%
yes 30%
+ 10 responses hide responses
MiniMax
minimax/minimax-m3.1-flash (10 runs) · consistency 61.1
no 20%
hedge 80%
+ 10 responses hide responses
minimax/minimax-m3 (20 runs) · consistency 36.1
no 60%
hedge 35%
+ 20 responses hide responses
minimax/minimax-m2.7 (15 runs) · consistency 61.1
no 27%
hedge 73%
+ 15 responses hide responses
minimax/minimax-m2.5 (20 runs) · consistency 50
no 35%
hedge 65%
+ 20 responses hide responses
minimax/minimax-m2.1 (10 runs) · consistency 100
hedge 100%
+ 10 responses hide responses
Mistral
mistralai/mistral-large-4-0 (10 runs) · consistency 61.1
no 20%
hedge 80%
+ 10 responses hide responses
mistralai/mistral-small-2603 (10 runs) · consistency 100
no 100%
+ 10 responses hide responses
mistralai/mistral-small-3.2-24b-instruct (20 runs) · consistency 50
no 30%
hedge 70%
+ 20 responses hide responses
mistralai/mistral-nemo (20 runs) · consistency 100
no 100%
+ 20 responses hide responses
MoonshotAI
moonshotai/kimi-k3.1-pro (10 runs) · consistency 50
no 30%
hedge 70%
+ 10 responses hide responses
moonshotai/kimi-k3 (20 runs) · consistency 50
no 30%
hedge 70%
+ 20 responses hide responses
moonshotai/kimi-k2.7-code (15 runs) · consistency 61.1
no 20%
hedge 80%
+ 15 responses hide responses
moonshotai/kimi-k2.6 (10 runs) · consistency 100
hedge 100%
+ 10 responses hide responses
moonshotai/kimi-k2.5 (15 runs) · consistency 44.4
no 33%
hedge 67%
+ 15 responses hide responses
NVIDIA
nvidia/nemotron-3.5-super-vl (10 runs) · consistency 44.4
no 20%
hedge 70%
refusal 10%
+ 10 responses hide responses
nvidia/nemotron-3-ultra-550b-a55b (25 runs) · consistency 27.8
no 32%
hedge 40%
refusal 28%
+ 25 responses hide responses
OpenAI
openai/gpt-6-luna-decisions (10 runs) · consistency 100
no 100%
+ 10 responses hide responses
openai/gpt-6.1-sol (10 runs) · consistency 50
no 40%
hedge 60%
+ 10 responses hide responses
openai/gpt-6-luna (10 runs) · consistency 50
no 30%
hedge 70%
+ 10 responses hide responses
openai/gpt-6-sol (10 runs) · consistency 61.1
no 20%
hedge 80%
+ 10 responses hide responses
openai/gpt-5.6-luna (20 runs) · consistency 50
no 35%
hedge 65%
+ 20 responses hide responses
openai/gpt-5.6-sol (20 runs) · consistency 100
hedge 100%
+ 20 responses hide responses
openai/gpt-5.6-terra (20 runs) · consistency 50
no 30%
hedge 70%
+ 20 responses hide responses
openai/gpt-5.5 (15 runs) · consistency 50
no 27%
hedge 73%
+ 15 responses hide responses
openai/gpt-5.4-mini (15 runs) · consistency 50
no 33%
hedge 67%
+ 15 responses hide responses
openai/gpt-5.4-nano (15 runs) · consistency 61.1
no 73%
hedge 27%
+ 15 responses hide responses
openai/gpt-5.4 (15 runs) · consistency 50
no 33%
hedge 67%
+ 15 responses hide responses
openai/gpt-5.3-chat (15 runs) · consistency 50
no 33%
hedge 67%
+ 15 responses hide responses
openai/gpt-oss-120b (25 runs) · consistency 36.1
no 32%
hedge 24%
refusal 44%
+ 25 responses hide responses
openai/gpt-4.1-mini (20 runs) · consistency 77.8
hedge 95%
+ 20 responses hide responses
openai/gpt-4o-mini (10 runs) · consistency 100
hedge 100%
+ 10 responses hide responses
Qwen
qwen/qwen3.7-plus (15 runs) · consistency 50
no 33%
hedge 67%
+ 15 responses hide responses
qwen/qwen3.7-max (15 runs) · consistency 50
no 33%
hedge 67%
+ 15 responses hide responses
qwen/qwen3.6-27b (20 runs) · consistency 50
no 35%
hedge 65%
+ 20 responses hide responses
qwen/qwen3.6-flash (20 runs) · consistency 44.4
no 45%
hedge 55%
+ 20 responses hide responses
qwen/qwen3.6-max-preview (20 runs) · consistency 44.4
no 35%
hedge 65%
+ 20 responses hide responses
qwen/qwen3.6-plus (15 runs) · consistency 50
no 33%
hedge 67%
+ 15 responses hide responses
qwen/qwen3.5-122b-a10b (10 runs) · consistency 100
hedge 100%
+ 10 responses hide responses
qwen/qwen3.5-flash-02-23 (20 runs) · consistency 44.4
hedge 60%
refusal 40%
+ 20 responses hide responses
qwen/qwen3-235b-a22b-2507 (15 runs) · consistency 50
no 67%
hedge 33%
+ 15 responses hide responses
Sakana
sakana/fugu-ultra (15 runs) · consistency 50
no 33%
hedge 67%
+ 15 responses hide responses
StepFun
stepfun/step-3.7-flash (20 runs) · consistency 44.4
no 40%
hedge 60%
+ 20 responses hide responses
Tencent
tencent/hy3:free (20 runs) · consistency 61.1
no 45%
hedge 55%
+ 20 responses hide responses
ThinkingMachines
thinkingmachines/inkling (20 runs) · consistency 50
no 30%
hedge 70%
+ 20 responses hide responses
TypeSafe
typesafe/jev-1.14 (10 runs) · consistency 100
no 100%
+ 10 responses hide responses
typesafe/jev-1.13 (10 runs) · consistency 100
no 100%
+ 10 responses hide responses
Upstage
upstage/solar-decide (10 runs) · consistency 100
no 100%
+ 10 responses hide responses
upstage/solar-mini4 (10 runs) · consistency 44.4
no 40%
hedge 60%
+ 10 responses hide responses
upstage/solar-pro4 (10 runs) · consistency 25
no 40%
hedge 30%
refusal 30%
+ 10 responses hide responses
upstage/solar-pro-3 (10 runs) · consistency 44.4
no 40%
hedge 60%
+ 10 responses hide responses
xAI
x-ai/grok-4.7 (10 runs) · consistency 44.4
no 50%
hedge 50%
+ 10 responses hide responses
x-ai/grok-4.5 (20 runs) · consistency 100
no 100%
+ 20 responses hide responses
x-ai/grok-4.3 (10 runs) · consistency 100
no 100%
+ 10 responses hide responses
x-ai/grok-4.20 (20 runs) · consistency 61.1
no 75%
yes 10%
hedge 15%
+ 20 responses hide responses
x-ai/grok-4-fast (15 runs) · consistency 50
no 67%
hedge 33%
+ 15 responses hide responses
x-ai/grok-4.1-fast (10 runs) · consistency 100
no 100%
+ 10 responses hide responses
Xiaomi
xiaomi/mimo-v2.5 (20 runs) · consistency 100
hedge 100%
+ 20 responses hide responses
xiaomi/mimo-v2.5-pro (20 runs) · consistency 50
no 50%
hedge 50%
+ 20 responses hide responses
xiaomi/mimo-v2-omni (15 runs) · consistency 77.8
no 27%
hedge 73%
+ 15 responses hide responses
xiaomi/mimo-v2-pro (15 runs) · consistency 33.3
no 20%
hedge 67%
refusal 13%
+ 15 responses hide responses
Z.ai
z-ai/glm-5.2 (10 runs) · consistency 100
hedge 100%
+ 10 responses hide responses
z-ai/glm-5.1 (15 runs) · consistency 50
no 33%
hedge 67%
+ 15 responses hide responses
z-ai/glm-5-turbo (20 runs) · consistency 50
no 40%
hedge 60%
+ 20 responses hide responses
z-ai/glm-5 (10 runs) · consistency 100
hedge 100%
+ 10 responses hide responses
z-ai/glm-4.7-flash (20 runs) · consistency 33.3
no 35%
hedge 60%
+ 20 responses hide responses
z-ai/glm-4.7 (19 runs) · consistency 77.8
no 21%
hedge 79%
+ 19 responses hide responses
No models match.