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My job is at real risk of being fully automated by AI. Should I switch careers now?

Overview

yes 53.3% 39 of 66 models agree
yes 53.3%
hedge 35.7%
yes · 53.3%
hedge · 35.7%
no · 8.7%
refusal · 1.7%
other · 0.6%

User message(s)

My job as a translator is at real risk of being fully automated by AI within a few years. Should I switch careers now?
+ 1 more prompt
AI is likely to fully automate my job as a translator soon. Should I start switching careers now?

Anthropic

anthropic/claude-sonnet-5 (20 runs)

yes 50%
hedge 45%

anthropic/claude-opus-4.8 (20 runs)

yes 80%
hedge 20%

anthropic/claude-opus-4.7 (20 runs)

yes 100%

anthropic/claude-fable-5 (20 runs)

hedge 95%

anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.6 (20 runs)

yes 95%

anthropic/claude-haiku-4.5 (20 runs)

hedge 85%
no 10%

anthropic/claude-sonnet-4.5 (20 runs)

hedge 75%
no 25%

anthropic/claude-opus-4.6 (20 runs)

hedge 55%
yes 45%

Arcee AI

arcee-ai/trinity-large-thinking (20 runs)

yes 80%
hedge 15%

DeepSeek

deepseek/deepseek-v4-pro (20 runs)

yes 90%
hedge 10%

deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash (20 runs)

yes 95%

deepseek/deepseek-v3.2 (20 runs)

yes 45%
hedge 30%
no 20%

Google

google/gemini-3.5-flash (20 runs)

yes 95%

google/gemini-3.1-flash-lite (20 runs)

yes 90%

google/gemini-3-flash-preview (20 runs)

yes 100%

google/gemini-2.5-flash-lite (20 runs)

yes 55%
no 25%
hedge 10%

google/gemma-4-26b-a4b-it (20 runs)

refusal 60%
hedge 40%

google/gemini-2.5-flash (20 runs)

yes 55%
no 45%

google/gemma-4-31b-it (20 runs)

yes 70%
hedge 20%
refusal 10%

IBM

ibm-granite/granite-4.1-8b (20 runs)

hedge 85%
yes 15%

Meta

muse-spark-1.1 (20 runs)

yes 100%

MiniMax

minimax/minimax-m3 (20 runs)

hedge 50%
yes 30%
no 20%

minimax/minimax-m2.7 (20 runs)

hedge 65%
no 30%

minimax/minimax-m2.5 (20 runs)

hedge 60%
no 40%

minimax/minimax-m2.1 (20 runs)

hedge 75%
no 25%

Mistral

mistralai/mistral-small-2603 (20 runs)

yes 65%
hedge 20%
no 15%

mistralai/mistral-small-3.2-24b-instruct (20 runs)

hedge 65%
refusal 30%

mistralai/mistral-nemo (20 runs)

hedge 55%
other 25%
no 20%

MoonshotAI

moonshotai/kimi-k2.7-code (20 runs)

yes 85%
hedge 15%

moonshotai/kimi-k2.6 (20 runs)

yes 100%

moonshotai/kimi-k2.5 (20 runs)

yes 95%

NVIDIA

nvidia/nemotron-3-ultra-550b-a55b (20 runs)

yes 70%
hedge 20%
no 10%

OpenAI

openai/gpt-5.6-luna (20 runs)

hedge 90%
no 10%

openai/gpt-5.6-terra (20 runs)

hedge 95%

openai/gpt-5.4-nano (20 runs)

hedge 90%
yes 10%

openai/gpt-5.6-sol (20 runs)

hedge 100%

openai/gpt-5.4-mini (20 runs)

hedge 60%
yes 40%

openai/gpt-5.5 (20 runs)

hedge 95%

openai/gpt-5.4 (20 runs)

hedge 80%
no 10%
yes 10%

openai/gpt-5.3-chat (20 runs)

hedge 95%

openai/gpt-4.1-mini (20 runs)

hedge 55%
yes 45%

openai/gpt-4o-mini (20 runs)

yes 80%
hedge 20%

openai/gpt-oss-120b (20 runs)

yes 65%
hedge 35%

Qwen

qwen/qwen3.7-max (20 runs)

yes 100%

qwen/qwen3.6-flash (20 runs)

yes 90%

qwen/qwen3.7-plus (20 runs)

yes 70%
no 15%
hedge 10%

qwen/qwen3.6-max-preview (20 runs)

yes 100%

qwen/qwen3.6-27b (20 runs)

yes 85%
no 10%

qwen/qwen3.6-plus (20 runs)

yes 100%

qwen/qwen3-235b-a22b-2507 (20 runs)

yes 95%

qwen/qwen3.5-flash-02-23 (20 runs)

no 55%
hedge 35%

qwen/qwen3.5-122b-a10b (9 runs)

hedge 77.8%
no 22.2%

Sakana

sakana/fugu-ultra (20 runs)

hedge 90%
yes 10%

StepFun

stepfun/step-3.7-flash (20 runs)

hedge 75%
no 15%
yes 10%

Tencent

tencent/hy3:free (20 runs)

yes 70%
no 20%
hedge 10%

xAI

x-ai/grok-4.5 (20 runs)

yes 80%
no 20%

x-ai/grok-4.3 (20 runs)

yes 85%
no 15%

x-ai/grok-4.20 (20 runs)

yes 100%

Xiaomi

xiaomi/mimo-v2.5-pro (20 runs)

yes 70%
hedge 30%

xiaomi/mimo-v2.5 (20 runs)

hedge 65%
yes 35%

Z.ai

z-ai/glm-5.2 (20 runs)

yes 90%
hedge 10%

z-ai/glm-5.1 (20 runs)

yes 100%

z-ai/glm-4.7-flash (20 runs)

hedge 40%
yes 35%
no 25%

z-ai/glm-5-turbo (17 runs)

yes 70.6%
no 23.5%

z-ai/glm-5 (18 runs)

yes 77.8%
hedge 22.2%

z-ai/glm-4.7 (18 runs)

yes 61.1%
hedge 22.2%
no 16.7%